The Day After … Trumpaggedon!

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I sat down to write this less than 24 hours after Trump pulled off the greatest upset in US electoral history. And from what I can tell after listening to National Propaganda Radio, watching NBC, CBS, and CNBC, and perusing Facebook, the dog of every Democrat in the country was run over by a truck Tuesday night. The flood of tears threatens to raise global sea level by meters!

Over the course of the day I have made several observations and heard several claims I’d like to share with you.

Apparently, I elected Donald Trump.

Me, my wife, and a number of my more independently minded friends did it. And if you came across this article on the Punk Rock Libertarian’s or the Daily Liberator’s Facebook page, then you probably elected him too.

But I didn’t actually vote for Trump. I voted for Gary Johnson. So how did I do it? Beats the hell outta me. But I’ve been hearing all day that third party voters cost Hillary the election despite the obvious problem with this argument – NONE OF US VOTED FOR TRUMP!

This stupid theory is based on the assumption that third party voters would have voted for Hillary if they didn’t have other choices. Well, you know what they say about someone who assumes – he/she is an ass (the rest of the saying doesn’t apply).

To be fair I was hearing this same tripe from Republicans before the election – “You’re just voting for Hillary.”

There was no way in hell I was going to vote for Trump or Hillary. If there wasn’t another choice I wouldn’t have voted. So if you try to tell me I voted for someone other than the person I voted for, you’re really just telling me that you rode to school in a short bus.

Blacks let Hillary down.

According to US News, black voter turnout was down 1% and of those who voted, 5% fewer voted for Hillary than voted for Obama in 2012. That combined to knock 1.5% off Hillary’s black vote number relative to Obama.

According to the geniuses at NPR, blacks didn’t vote for Hillary as they were expected to and thus contributed to her loss. Implicit in that statement is another assumption – blacks owe their votes to Democrats.

And you thought slavery ended in 1865.

Russia rigged the election.

I hope you’re rolling your eyes over that one.

This is the left-wing media story line: Trump and Putin are buddies, despite the fact that they have never met (according to FactCheck.org). So Vladimir decided to help out his buddy by having Russian computer experts hack into Democratic National Committee and Clinton Foundation computers. The Russians then forwarded thousands of hacked emails to Julian Assange in the Ecuadorian embassy in London. Assange then released the content of the emails via Wikileaks revealing all the slimy crap Hillary’s campaign, the Clinton Foundation, and their confederates in the left-wing media were doing.

US intelligence agencies have stated that they have no evidence that Russia was involved in the email hack. But even if we ignore that, does it make any sense to blame Russia? If I do something sleazy and you find out and tell everyone then who is at fault? You for telling everyone? Or me for being a dirt-bag in the first place?

Russia didn’t try to rig the election but Hillary did. What a dirt-bag.

James Comey rigged the election.

Apparently two public announcements by the FBI Director that he would NOT seek an indictment against Hillary for her illegal email server convinced people they should vote for Trump.

Does that mean she would have won if she had been indicted? What is the twisted logic behind this?

You know who didn’t cost Hillary the election?

Hillary.

Not one non-Fox media outlet or Facebook political pundit is blaming her as far as I can tell. She was the most qualified Presidential candidate in history. She’s a woman, which I’m told made her more qualified than anyone with a Y chromosome. And she’s not Trump, which according to campaign ads was her most important qualification.

So much political talent wasted. But maybe she can use it in the future … like when she runs for cell-block leader after she’s thrown in prison for perjury, obstruction of justice, fraud, and money laundering. #OrangePantSuit

Building intentional bias into your poll is a really bad idea.

Here is a screenshot of the polls aggregated by RealClearPolitics.com the morning of the election:

final-polls

As you can see, only 1 poll showed Trump winning the popular vote. The other polls were correct as far as who won the popular vote, Trump lost by 233,404 votes or about 0.16% of the total. But most of them were wrong as far as the magnitude. Only IBD, Bloomberg, and Rasmussen had a large enough margin of error to equate their predicted results with reality – in other words, their predictions were “close enough for government work.”

But the other 8 polls were wrong, sometimes way wrong. Taking the margin of error into account, the ABC/Washington Post poll had Hillary winning by 1.9 million votes. The Monmouth poll had her winning by 3 million votes. And the Gravis poll gave her a 3.8 million vote cushion – that’s 16 times greater than the real number. How could they be so wrong?

Simple … they cooked the books. For the last couple of months the website ZeroHedge.com has been digging into the numbers and discovered a disturbing trend with several pollsters. They were over-sampling Democrats and under-sampling independents.

For example, in the ABC/Washington Post poll 38% of the respondents were Democrats, 31% were Republicans, and 27% were independents. But that doesn’t come close to the real-world party affiliation of voters. According to a September Gallup poll, only 32% of voters call themselves Democrats, 27% Republicans, and 40% independents.

According to the ABC/WaPo poll, independents preferred Trump by a 5% margin, but because the poll under-sampled them it minimized this number effectively cutting it down to 3%. Thus the poll reported that Hillary had an unbeatable 47% to 43% edge against the Trumpster. However, a properly done sample would have shown a beatable 46% to 44% edge (within the margin of error).

This not only skewed the popular vote predictions, it completely effed up the predicted electoral race. Not once since the campaign began did the RealClearPolitics electoral vote tally show Trump winning. Not once. Democrats woke up on election day thinking Hillary was a shoo-in, and because of this many probably stayed home instead of voting. The Democratic bias built into the polls, mostly conducted by left-leaning organizations, duped them.

And, in this case, it really did contribute to Hillary’s loss.

Democrats are sore losers.

Remember seeing all those Republicans crying after McCain lost in 2008 and Romney lost in 2012? Remember all the Republicans who called you a racist or a homophobe or a misogynist because you voted for Obama, or Johnson, or Stein? Remember all the Republicans who shut down city centers to protest Obama’s election? Remember the Republicans who were beating up people outside polling places because they didn’t like how their victims voted? Remember all the celebrities who said they were going to move to another country (or planet?) if Obama won the election? Remember all the Facebook and Twitter posts begging for someone to assassinate President-elect Obama?

What’s that? You don’t remember any of that happening?

Well, you shouldn’t because in 2008 and 2012 none of those things happened. But they have all happened since Trump won and all these acts have been committed by Democrats against anyone who didn’t support Hillary. Beginning Wednesday morning the party of tolerance turned rabidly intolerant, and occasionally violent.

Yes, I know it’s a relatively small number of Democrats acting like teenage thugs and spoiled brats. But it’s a relatively huge number compared to the number of Republicans, or Libertarians, or Greens that act like this when their candidates lose.

A warning to you Democrats – calling people names, questioning their character, or physically assaulting them is not going to persuade them to vote for your party in the future. It just convinces them of something they already suspected … you’re a bunch of assholes.

Now the Republicans have to put up or shut up!

Ever since 2008 the stupid party has been the party of excuses.

In 2008 – (use your mental whiny voice) we can’t do anything because the Democrats control Congress and the Presidency!

In 2010 – we can’t do anything because the Democrats control the Senate and the Presidency!

Since 2012 – we can’t do anything because Obama will veto our bills … Wah! Wah!

Time is up you crybabies. With the election of Trump you now control both houses of Congress and the Presidency. You’ve run out of excuses – and I don’t want to hear any BS about not having a filibuster-proof majority. Stop being pussies!

Kill Obamacare.
Cut taxes.
Get spending under control.
Get us the hell out of the Middle East and stop murdering innocent people.

Is that clear?

One last thought.

No matter how much you are dreading it, a Trump Presidency won’t be a disaster.

As Otto von Bismarck said, “there is a special providence for drunkards, fools, and the United States of America.”

Wayne Middlesteadt is the author of Five Ways to Beat the Market and The Golden Age of Distance Running.

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Wayne Middlesteadt is a 1986 graduate of Georgia Tech and has an MBA from Georgia State University. Currently working as a financial writer and track and field historian, his latest book is Five Ways To Beat The Market.